Strong ground motion record selection for the reliable prediction of the mean seismic collapse capacity of a structure group     

Mohsen Ghafory‐Ashtiany  Mehdi Mousavi  Alireza Azarbakht 《地震工程与结构动力学》2011,40(6):691-708

How to select a limited number of strong ground motion records (SGMRs) is an important challenge for the seismic collapse capacity assessment of structures. The collapse capacity is considered as the ground motion intensity measure corresponding to the drift‐related dynamic instability in the structural system. The goal of this paper is to select, from a general set of SGMRs, a small number of subsets such that each can be used for the reliable prediction of the mean collapse capacity of a particular group of structures, i.e. of single degree‐of‐freedom systems with a typical behaviour range. In order to achieve this goal, multivariate statistical analysis is first applied, to determine what degree of similarity exists between each selected small subset and the general set of SGMRs. Principal Component analysis is applied to identify the best way to group structures, resulting in a minimum number of SGMRs in a proposed subset. The structures were classified into six groups, and for each group a subset of eight SGMRs has been proposed. The methodology has been validated by analysing a first‐mode‐dominated three‐storey‐reinforced concrete structure by means of the proposed subsets, as well as the general set of SGMRs. The results of this analysis show that the mean seismic collapse capacity can be predicted by the proposed subsets with less dispersion than by the recently developed improved approach, which is based on scaling the response spectra of the records to match the conditional mean spectrum. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

克拉玛依科博馆倾斜结构抗震设计     

赵楠 《地震工程与工程振动》2011,31(2):111-117

结合克拉玛依市科技博物馆工程,对超限倾斜结构设定性能设计目标,并针对性能目标提出抗震措施及抗震构造措施.考虑结构材料的非线性属性,采用静力非线性分析方法,分析倾斜框架-剪力墙结构在地震作用下的响应,尤其是结构在罕遇地震作用下的非线性动力特性.结果表明,结构在罕遇地震下也是安全可靠的,剪力墙尚处在弹性范围,未出现塑性铰,...  相似文献   

VP型宽频带倾斜仪映震能力分析     

王强  孟建国  吕春帅  曲保安  卢双苓  孙豪 《地震地磁观测与研究》2011,32(4):94-98

根据所掌握的仪器映震能力、震前(后)大震特殊捕捉现象,以及对相同地震不同仪器映震的对比,可以看出,VP型宽频带垂直摆倾斜仪具备前兆仪器捕捉(反映)地震孕育及地震发生的相关作用,能够正确、客观的作用于地震前兆数据产出,对地震预测研究具有深远影响.  相似文献   

工程测量课程建设与能力培养的探索与实践     

孔达  王笑峰  龚文峰  周启朋  马学武 《测绘与空间地理信息》2011,(6):33-35

结合工程测量课程建设,着重从课程体系改革及教材建设,实践教学环节的加强,现代化教学手段的应用等方面阐述了本课程建设的实践与认识。  相似文献   

Responding to change: Using scenarios to understand how socioeconomic factors may influence amplifying or dampening exploitation feedbacks among Tanzanian fishers     

Joshua.E. Cinner  Carl. Folke  Tim. Daw  Christina.C. Hicks   《Global Environmental Change》2011,21(1):7-12

Environmental change often requires societies to adapt. In some instances, these adaptations can create feedbacks that amplify the change. Alternatively, other adaptations may dampen the change. We used semi-structured interviews with 240 fishers from nine Tanzanian coastal communities to explore responses to four hypothetical scenarios of increasingly severe declines in their average catch (10%, 20%, 30% and 50%). Overall, a higher proportion of fishers said they would respond to decline using amplifying adaptations (such as fishing harder) than dampening adaptations (such as reducing effort), particularly in the scenarios with lower levels of decline. We used a redundancy analysis to explore whether certain types of responses were related to the fishers’ socioeconomic characteristics. Fishers that would employ amplifying responses had greater economic wealth but lacked options. Fishers who would adopt dampening responses possessed characteristics associated with having livelihood options. Fishers who would adopt neither amplifying nor dampening responses were less likely to belong to community groups and sold the largest proportion of their catch. This study provides novel contributions by differentiating aspects of adaptive capacity that will amplify versus dampen environmental change and by highlighting what the resource users’ themselves say regarding responding to environmental change. Although direct policy application is limited by the study's hypothetical scenario nature, it provides a good beginning to incorporating resource users’ voices into such policy discussions.  相似文献   

Common property rights, adaptive capacity, and response to forest disturbance   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Eric A. Coleman 《Global Environmental Change》2011,21(3):855-865

This paper reports the results of a statistical analysis which measures the effects of adaptive capacity on forest conditions in response to a prior disturbance. Particular emphasis is placed on common property rights as a form of institutional adaptive capacity. Common property rights are delineated in terms of rights of access, withdrawal, management, exclusion, and alienation. Using statistical analysis of 326 forest user groups from 13 countries in the database of the International Forestry Resources and Institutions (IFRI) program, the effects on user group rankings of forest conditions are estimated with a probability model. Overall, the results indicate that user groups with more complete property rights are more likely to rank forest conditions favorably. However, the effects of property rights also depend on the level of other forms of adaptive capacity such as the organizational capacity of the group and the number of rival user groups.  相似文献   

相关性对BLAST系统信道容量性能的影响     

张唯希  周杰 《南京气象学院学报》2011,(4):380-384

贝尔实验室分层空-时(Bell Labs Layered Space-Time,BLAST)通信系统相比其他的通信系统具有更高的频谱效率,能有效地提高系统信道容量.利用指数相关矩阵和均匀相关矩阵模型,分析比较了相关信道下BLAST系统的信道容量,并利用Matlab进行仿真.仿真结果表明:利用指数相关矩阵模型,BLAST系统可以获得更好的系统性能;在天线数目较小或信噪比较高时,两模型具有较高的近似度.  相似文献   

“Indicators of vulnerability and adaptive capacity”: Towards a clarification of the science–policy interface     

Jochen Hinkel   《Global Environmental Change》2011,21(1):198-208

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Carbon isotopic fractionation by desorption of shale gases     

《Marine and Petroleum Geology》2015

Geochemical studies of shale gas and conventional reservoirs within the Triassic Yanchang Formation of Xiasiwan and Yongning Field, Ordos Basin show that methane is isotopically depleted in ¹³C as compared to δ¹³C₁ calculated by the Ro based on the relationship between δ¹³C₁ and Ro. Geochemical fractionation during the adsorption/desorption process of shale system may play a significant part in influencing δ¹³C₁ values of shale gas. Two shale core samples from confined coring of the Yanchang Formation were adopted segmented desorption experiments to examine this phenomenon. The results show that the δ¹³C₁ of desorbed gas changes little in the first few phases of the experiments at low desorption levels, but become less negative rapidly when the fraction of desorbed methane exceeds 85%. The desorption process for the last 15% fraction of the methane from the shale samples shows a wide variation in δ¹³C₁ from −49‰ to −33.9‰. Moreover, δ¹³C₁ of all desorbed methane from the shale samples is substantially depleted in ¹³C than that calculated by Ro, according to Stahl and Carey's δ¹³C₁–Ro equation for natural gas generated from sapropelic organic matter. This shows some gases with isotopically enriched in ¹³C cannot be desorbed under the temperature and pressure conditions of the desorption experiments. This observation may be the real reason for the δ¹³C₁ of shale gases and conventional reservoirs becomes more negative in Xiasiwan and Yongning Fields, Ordos Basin. The magnitude of the deviation between the δ¹³C₁ of shale gas and that calculated by Ro may be related to the adsorption capacity of shale or the proportion of absorbed gases. In this way, we may be able to evaluate the relative adsorption capacity of shale in geological conditions by δ¹³C₁ of the shale gas, or by δ¹³C₁ of conventional gas which generated by the shale with certainty. The δ¹³C₁ of conventional gas in Dingbian and Yingwang Fields have no deviation because the TOC value of the hydrocarbon source rock is relatively low.  相似文献   

Governance fit for climate change in a Caribbean coastal-marine context     

《Marine Policy》2015

Coastal-marine systems in small island developing states of the Caribbean are highly vulnerable to both current and future climate change. Societies navigate these changes in part through processes of governance and the institutions through which governance takes place. The concept of institutional adaptive capacity is used to explore how governance processes and institutional arrangements can be adapted to match the scale and extent of climate change in a case study of the Soufriere Marine Management Area, St. Lucia. Institutional adaptive capacity is analyzed based on the following factors: institutional variety, analytical deliberation and nesting and networks. The analysis is based on 36 semi-structured interviews conducted with key informants from NGOs, cooperatives, management authorities and government agencies. The findings suggest that governance to address climate change in the case study is contingent upon developing holistic, integrated management systems, improving flexibility in existing collaborative decision making processes, augmenting the capacity of local management authorities with support from higher-level government, exploring opportunities for private–social partnerships, and developing adequate social–environmental monitoring programs. These findings have potential implications and lessons for similar settings throughout the Caribbean.  相似文献